The abandoned ice sheet base at Camp Century, Greenland, in a warming climate
Colgan, WilliamLassonde School of Engineering, York University, Toronto, Ontario, Canada - Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado Boulder, USA
Machguth, HorstDepartment of Geography, University of Zurich, Switzerland - Department of Geosciences, University of Fribourg, Switzerland
MacFerrin, MikeCooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado Boulder, USA
Colgan, Jeff D.Watson Institute, Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island, USA
As, Dirk vanDepartment of Glaciology and Climate, Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenland, Copenhagen, Denmark
MacGregor, Joseph A.Cryospheric Sciences Laboratory (Code 615), NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Maryland, USA
English
In 1959 the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers built Camp Century beneath the surface of the northwestern Greenland Ice Sheet. There they studied the feasibility of deploying ballistic missiles within the ice sheet. The base and its wastes were abandoned with minimal decommissioning in 1967, under the assumption they would be preserved for eternity by perpetually accumulating snowfall. Here we show that a transition in ice sheet surface mass balance at Camp Century from net accumulation to net ablation is plausible within the next 75 years, under a business-as-usual anthropogenic emissions scenario (Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5). Net ablation would guarantee the eventual remobilization of physical, chemical, biological, and radiological wastes abandoned at the site. While Camp Century and four other contemporaneous ice sheet bases were legally established under a Danish-U.S. treaty, the potential remobilization of their abandoned wastes, previously regarded as sequestered, represents an entirely new pathway of political dispute resulting from climate change.