Enhancing countries’ fitness with recommender systems on the international trade network
Liao, HaoNational Engineering Laboratory for Big Data System Computing Technology, College of Computer Science and Software Engineering, Shenzhen University, China
Huang, Xiao-MinNational Engineering Laboratory for Big Data System Computing Technology, College of Computer Science and Software Engineering, Shenzhen University, China
Wu, Xing-TongNational Engineering Laboratory for Big Data System Computing Technology, College of Computer Science and Software Engineering, Shenzhen University, China
Liu, Ming-KaiNational Engineering Laboratory for Big Data System Computing Technology, College of Computer Science and Software Engineering, Shenzhen University, China
Vidmer, AlexandreNational Engineering Laboratory for Big Data System Computing Technology, College of Computer Science and Software Engineering, Shenzhen University, China
Zhou, Ming-YangNational Engineering Laboratory for Big Data System Computing Technology, College of Computer Science and Software Engineering, Shenzhen University, China
Zhang, Yi-ChengNational Engineering Laboratory for Big Data System Computing Technology, College of Computer Science and Software Engineering, Shenzhen University, China - Department of Physics, University of Fribourg, Switzerland
English
Prediction is one of the major challenges in complex systems. The prediction methods have shown to be effective predictors of the evolution of networks. These methods can help policy makers to solve practical problems successfully and make better strategy for the future. In this work, we focus on exporting countries’ data of the International Trade Network. A recommendation system is then used to identify the products that correspond to the production capacity of each individual country but are somehow overlooked by the country. Then, we simulate the evolution of the country’s fitness if it would have followed the recommendations. The result of this work is the combination of these two methods to provide insights to countries on how to enhance the diversification of their exported products in a scientific way and improve national competitiveness significantly, especially for developing countries.