Evidence of climatic niche shift during biological invasion
Broennimann, OlivierDepartment of Ecology and Evolution, University of Lausanne, Switzerland
Treier, Urs A.Unit of Ecology and Evolution, Department of Biology, University of Fribourg, Switzerland - Department of Biological Sciences, Systematic Botany, University of Aarhus, Denmark
Müller-Schärer, HeinzUnit of Ecology and Evolution, Department of Biology, University of Fribourg, Switzerland
Thuiller, W.Laboratoire d'Ecologie Alpine, UMR-CNRS 5553, Université Joseph Fourier, Grenoble, France
English
Niche-based models calibrated in the native range by relating species observations to climatic variables are commonly used to predict the potential spatial extent of species’ invasion. This climate matching approach relies on the assumption that invasive species conserve their climatic niche in the invaded ranges. We test this assumption by analysing the climatic niche spaces of Spotted Knapweed in western North America and Europe. We show with robust cross-continental data that a shift of the observed climatic niche occurred between native and non-native ranges, providing the first empirical evidence that an invasive species can occupy climatically distinct niche spaces following its introduction into a new area. The models fail to predict the current invaded distribution, but correctly predict areas of introduction. Climate matching is thus a useful approach to identify areas at risk of introduction and establishment of newly or not-yet-introduced neophytes, but may not predict the full extent of invasions.