Journal article
Global modeling of nature’s contributions to people
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Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca
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Institute on the Environment, University of Minnesota, Saint Paul, MN 55108, USA.
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Sharp, Richard P.
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Natural Capital Project, Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.
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Weil, Charlotte
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Natural Capital Project, Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.
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Bennett, Elena M.
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Department of Natural Resource Sciences, McGill University, Sainte-Anne-de-Bellevue, Québec H9X 3V9, Canada.
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Pascual, Unai
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Centre for Development and Environment, University of Bern, 3012 Bern, Switzerland.
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Arkema, Katie K.
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School of Environmental and Forest Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, USA.
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Brauman, Kate A.
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Institute on the Environment, University of Minnesota, Saint Paul, MN 55108, USA.
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Bryant, Benjamin P.
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Water in the West, Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.
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Guerry, Anne D.
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School of Environmental and Forest Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, USA.
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Haddad, Nick M.
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Kellogg Biological Station, Department of Integrative Biology, Hickory Corners, MI 49060, USA.
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Hamann, Maike
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Humphrey School of Public Affairs, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN 55455, USA.
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Hamel, Perrine
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Natural Capital Project, Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.
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Johnson, Justin A.
Institute on the Environment, University of Minnesota, Saint Paul, MN 55108, USA.
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Mandle, Lisa
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Natural Capital Project, Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.
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Pereira, Henrique M.
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CIBIO (Research Centre in Biodiversity and Genetic Resources)–InBIO (Research Network in Biodiversity and Evolutionary Biology), Universidade do Porto, 4485-661 Vairão, Portugal.
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Polasky, Stephen
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Department of Applied Economics, University of Minnesota, Saint Paul, MN 55108, USA.
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Ruckelshaus, Mary
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School of Environmental and Forest Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, USA.
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Shaw, M. Rebecca
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World Wildlife Fund, San Francisco, CA 94105, USA.
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Silver, Jessica M.
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School of Environmental and Forest Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, USA.
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Vogl, Adrian L.
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Natural Capital Project, Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.
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Daily, Gretchen C.
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Center for Conservation Biology, Department of Biology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.
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Published in:
- Science. - American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS). - 2019, vol. 366, no. 6462, p. 255-258
English
The magnitude and pace of global change demand rapid assessment of nature and its contributions to people. We present a fine-scale global modeling of current status and future scenarios for several contributions: water quality regulation, coastal risk reduction, and crop pollination. We find that where people’s needs for nature are now greatest, nature’s ability to meet those needs is declining. Up to 5 billion people face higher water pollution and insufficient pollination for nutrition under future scenarios of land use and climate change, particularly in Africa and South Asia. Hundreds of millions of people face heightened coastal risk across Africa, Eurasia, and the Americas. Continued loss of nature poses severe threats, yet these can be reduced 3- to 10-fold under a sustainable development scenario.
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Language
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Open access status
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closed
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Persistent URL
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https://folia.unifr.ch/global/documents/60850
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