Table S2: Model fit (?AICc) and parameter estimates for combinations of independent variables explaining establishment success in parasitic wasps (fitted on 286 release events of 120 species). Models are ranked by their ?AICc value. “+” denotes if a variable was included in the model. Models with green shading indicate models considered for model averaging of parameters, i.e. those whose ?AICc ? 6 and whose AICc values are less than the AICc value of all the simpler models nested within them. Models with ?AICc > 6 are not shown. Detailed explanations about parameters are given in the main text. (Intercept) mean body mass disturbance parasitoid life style taxonomic specificity propagule pressure (log) host number year climate matching df logLik AICc ?AICc weight -2.7453147 NA 0.4215064 + NA 0.10354179 -0.02393193 NA NA 8 -162.8742 342.2683 0 0.055954306 -1.4206879 NA NA NA NA 0.08858759 -0.02489228 NA NA 6 -165.1543 342.6097 0.3414276 0.047172995 -2.08353 NA 0.3240795 NA NA 0.09929054 -0.02396338 NA NA 7 -164.1813 342.7655 0.4971502 0.043639396 -1.7568433 NA NA + NA 0.08975504 -0.02499175 NA NA 7 -164.4492 343.3012 1.0329043 0.033384217 -0.7404647 NA NA NA NA NA -0.02452299 NA NA 5 -166.6796 343.5734 1.3051249 0.029135954 -2.6171504 -0.0052804 0.4731012 + NA 0.10438893 -0.02389466 NA NA 9 -162.5149 343.682 1.4137197 0.027596131 9.929652 NA 0.429079 + NA 0.09990937 -0.02411706 -0.00648654 NA 9 -162.6163 343.8847 1.6163915 0.024936676 11.1276298 NA NA NA NA 0.08452639 -0.02507633 -0.006409188 NA 7 -164.9087 344.2203 1.9519535 0.021084932 -1.9493954 -0.005030889 0.3708116 NA NA 0.10021346 -0.02391768 NA NA 8 -163.86 344.2398 1.9715389 0.020879461 -1.7204263 NA 0.3269509 + NA NA -0.02389311 NA NA 7 -164.9599 344.3226 2.0543384 0.020032705 -2.7133914 NA 0.4144877 + NA 0.10460433 -0.02384866 NA -0.16873131 9 -162.8421 344.3363 2.0680111 0.019896222 -1.0394107 NA NA + NA NA -0.02461365 NA NA 6 -166.0283 344.3577 2.0893495 0.019685073 10.5884833 NA 0.3303564 NA NA 0.09518743 -0.02411621 -0.006478522 NA 8 -163.9278 344.3755 2.1072315 0.019509854 -2.8152066 NA 0.42185 + 0.019018621 0.10399679 -0.02421912 NA NA 9 -162.8683 344.3887 2.1203706 0.019382103 -1.172875 NA 0.2426473 NA NA NA -0.02390192 NA NA 6 -166.0666 344.4342 2.1659024 0.018945836 -1.3823876 NA NA NA NA 0.0910803 -0.02460704 NA -0.32383915 7 -165.0402 344.4833 2.2149602 0.018486769 -1.2941347 -0.002765054 NA NA NA 0.08841745 -0.02492516 NA NA 7 -165.0523 344.5074 2.2390845 0.018265119 -1.3714099 NA NA NA -0.014445381 0.08831383 -0.02466509 NA NA 7 -165.151 344.7049 2.4365576 0.016547857 -2.0461023 NA 0.3166982 NA NA 0.10039488 -0.02383692 NA -0.18868338 8 -164.1428 344.8054 2.5371218 0.015736369 14.80507 NA NA NA NA NA -0.02470304 -0.007958831 NA 6 -166.2551 344.8112 2.5428787 0.015691137 -2.0251539 NA 0.3245468 NA -0.017329899 0.09895775 -0.02370049 NA NA 8 -164.1765 344.8728 2.6044867 0.015215156 10.9185258 NA NA + NA 0.08606547 -0.02520524 -0.006478922 NA 8 -164.1971 344.914 2.6457127 0.014904737 13.9288598 -0.006616246 0.4949572 + NA 0.10000386 -0.02412819 -0.008448746 NA 10 -162.0951 344.9903 2.7219575 0.014347226 -1.726261 NA NA + NA 0.09270837 -0.02471487 NA -0.35394632 8 -164.3104 345.1406 2.8722605 0.013308529 -1.6399695 -0.002438286 NA + NA 0.08950401 -0.02501696 NA NA 8 -164.3695 345.2589 2.9905867 0.012543995 -1.8011535 NA NA + 0.012239589 0.0900124 -0.02518822 NA NA 8 -164.4468 345.4134 3.1450546 0.011611641 -0.6103796 -0.00284424 NA NA NA NA -0.02455801 NA NA 6 -166.5642 345.4295 3.1611939 0.011518316 14.1704895 NA 0.3381726 + NA NA -0.02403789 -0.008149371 NA 8 -164.4987 345.5173 3.2489596 0.011023789 -0.7012218 NA NA NA NA NA -0.02433559 NA -0.22634514 6 -166.6187 345.5384 3.2701398 0.010907662 14.6351224 -0.006404411 0.3912369 NA NA 0.09532852 -0.02410966 -0.008459836 NA 9 -163.4481 345.5484 3.2800583 0.010853702 14.4215913 NA NA + NA NA -0.02482608 -0.007917652 NA 7 -165.6055 345.6139 3.3455991 0.010503787 14.8514783 NA 0.2535078 NA NA NA -0.02401589 -0.008214585 NA 7 -165.6071 345.6171 3.3487459 0.010487273 -0.6323882 NA NA NA -0.033055498 NA -0.02398049 NA NA 6 -166.6602 345.6215 3.3532101 0.010463891 -2.5814352 -0.005336195 0.4657946 + NA 0.10556262 -0.02378493 NA -0.17919421 10 -162.4793 345.7585 3.4902157 0.009771085 -1.5909341 -0.004923774 0.3745413 + NA NA -0.023859 NA NA 8 -164.6245 345.7688 3.5004802 0.009721066 -2.7117169 -0.005318624 0.4742472 + 0.025797593 0.10505388 -0.02427718 NA NA 10 -162.504 345.8081 3.5397642 0.009531988 -1.0380003 -0.004697628 0.286293 NA NA NA -0.02386942 NA NA 7 -165.7684 345.9396 3.6713162 0.008925187 13.687475 -0.003915893 NA NA NA 0.08360583 -0.02513982 -0.007625181 NA 8 -164.7197 345.9592 3.6909376 0.008838053 9.6228319 NA 0.4242735 + NA 0.1007088 -0.02406577 -0.006318724 -0.11264569 10 -162.6026 346.0051 3.7367952 0.008637713 9.9657592 NA 0.4290784 + -0.00183307 0.09985776 -0.02408926 -0.00650157 NA 10 -162.6162 346.0324 3.7641131 0.008520533 10.3382282 NA NA NA NA 0.08687516 -0.02485025 -0.005989724 -0.27087257 8 -164.8321 346.1841 3.9158044 0.007898187 -0.91791 -0.00256876 NA + NA NA -0.0246398 NA NA 7 -165.9333 346.2695 4.0011769 0.007568137 -1.9062705 -0.005115655 0.3631741 NA NA 0.10150348 -0.02375444 NA -0.20688828 9 -163.8147 346.2815 4.0131978 0.007522786 11.6946163 NA NA NA -0.033036445 0.08380705 -0.02455316 -0.006641375 NA 8 -164.8921 346.3041 4.0357889 0.00743829 -1.0015027 NA NA + NA NA -0.02444175 NA -0.24700584 7 -165.9534 346.3097 4.0413403 0.007417672 -1.2411035 -0.003037942 NA NA NA 0.0912314 -0.02458446 NA -0.35170347 8 -164.9203 346.3604 4.092136 0.007231651 -1.9135101 -0.00501466 0.3708486 NA -0.010698552 0.09999004 -0.02376063 NA NA 9 -163.8582 346.3685 4.1002334 0.007202432 -1.6951445 NA 0.3223016 + NA NA -0.02384501 NA -0.10157604 8 -164.9472 346.4142 4.1458804 0.007039909 -1.6900223 NA 0.3269785 + -0.008839019 NA -0.02374985 NA NA 8 -164.9584 346.4367 4.1684268 0.006960992 17.3330103 -0.004172134 NA NA NA NA -0.02476494 -0.009155155 NA 7 -166.0247 346.4522 4.1838872 0.00690739 -1.0048812 NA NA + -0.010002589 NA -0.02444758 NA NA 7 -166.0265 346.4559 4.1875629 0.006894706 11.34155 NA 0.3321464 NA -0.03934584 0.09428278 -0.02351556 -0.006796329 NA 9 -163.9044 346.461 4.1926479 0.006877199 10.226406 NA 0.32512 NA NA 0.09608467 -0.02403515 -0.00628023 -0.13100992 9 -163.9101 346.4723 4.2040106 0.006838238 -2.7790479 NA 0.4148879 + 0.01778236 0.10500542 -0.02411831 NA -0.16665484 10 -162.8369 346.4739 4.2055667 0.00683292 -1.0518233 NA 0.2442466 NA -0.037847734 NA -0.02329666 NA NA 7 -166.041 346.4849 4.2165987 0.006795333 -1.1426246 NA 0.2373905 NA NA NA -0.02382019 NA -0.12244849 7 -166.049 346.5008 4.2325096 0.006741488 17.7995242 -0.00643482 0.4008598 + NA NA -0.02402293 -0.009920167 NA 9 -163.9653 346.5827 4.3143805 0.006471094 -1.3205404 NA NA NA -0.018073806 0.09077733 -0.02431892 NA -0.32669154 8 -165.0351 346.5901 4.3217889 0.006447168 -1.254847 -0.00275251 NA NA -0.011675017 0.08819497 -0.02474253 NA NA 8 -165.0501 346.62 4.3517382 0.006351343 13.1944634 -0.003554933 NA + NA 0.0851401 -0.02525826 -0.007554706 NA 9 -164.0408 346.7337 4.4654263 0.006000377 18.5194932 -0.006259185 0.3123251 NA NA NA -0.0239852 -0.010000896 NA 8 -165.1143 346.7485 4.4801912 0.005956242 15.5856897 NA NA NA -0.05286677 NA -0.02383096 -0.008269944 NA 7 -166.208 346.8188 4.5505083 0.005750468 10.0265363 NA NA + NA 0.08883411 -0.02498215 -0.006009798 -0.30164779 9 -164.1003 346.8528 4.584517 0.005653512 14.396106 NA NA NA NA NA -0.02457972 -0.007735253 -0.16026697 7 -166.226 346.8548 4.5864956 0.005647922 -1.9803446 NA 0.3171161 NA -0.019388333 0.10005075 -0.02354108 NA -0.19162888 9 -164.1369 346.9259 4.6575906 0.005450678 11.0046638 NA NA + -0.005090519 0.08594416 -0.02512353 -0.006513538 NA 9 -164.1967 347.0455 4.77724 0.005134156 -1.594954 -0.002718313 NA + NA 0.09274945 -0.02469188 NA -0.37771273 9 -164.2142 347.0805 4.8122002 0.00504519 13.6424954 -0.006623222 0.4902107 + NA 0.10077685 -0.02406378 -0.008291812 -0.10564823 11 -162.0834 347.1303 4.8619413 0.004921261 13.9123591 -0.006616822 0.4949804 + 0.000901396 0.10003134 -0.02414191 -0.008441946 NA 11 -162.0951 347.1537 4.8854362 0.004863787 -1.7615286 NA NA + 0.009729736 0.09289447 -0.02487123 NA -0.35281059 9 -164.3089 347.2699 5.0016216 0.004589287 16.7213654 -0.003854359 NA + NA NA -0.02487782 -0.009001363 NA 8 -165.4073 347.3345 5.0662312 0.0044434 -1.6894981 -0.002448475 NA + 0.01380984 0.0897985 -0.0252352 NA NA 9 -164.3665 347.3851 5.1167936 0.004332473 -0.5598406 -0.003007017 NA NA NA NA -0.02433324 NA -0.24853431 7 -166.4918 347.3865 5.1182043 0.004329419 -0.5114034 -0.002812871 NA NA -0.03070467 NA -0.02405932 NA NA 7 -166.5477 347.4982 5.2298797 0.004094299 -0.5835267 NA NA NA -0.035709264 NA -0.02374589 NA -0.23182758 7 -166.5965 347.5958 5.3275316 0.003899193 15.8683355 NA 0.25778 NA -0.061616115 NA -0.02302587 -0.008635716 NA 8 -165.5428 347.6054 5.3370698 0.003880642 14.7220459 NA 0.3392429 + -0.032130155 NA -0.02352111 -0.008376087 NA 9 -164.4807 347.6135 5.3451889 0.00386492 14.1009156 NA 0.3368352 + NA NA -0.02402683 -0.00811 -0.02887388 9 -164.4977 347.6476 5.379331 0.003799502 13.9483481 NA NA + NA NA -0.0247071 -0.007661017 -0.1835632 8 -165.5661 347.6521 5.3838097 0.003791003 15.2943395 -0.006387254 0.3922 NA -0.036767017 0.09442212 -0.02355666 -0.008733501 NA 10 -163.428 347.656 5.3877282 0.003783583 14.2761934 -0.006424767 0.3858264 NA NA 0.09628283 -0.02400785 -0.008262696 -0.13290093 10 -163.4304 347.6608 5.3924486 0.003774663 14.8445526 NA NA + -0.02871925 NA -0.02434507 -0.008083374 NA 8 -165.5915 347.7028 5.4345186 0.003696092 14.7354985 NA 0.2514589 NA NA NA -0.0239892 -0.008149228 -0.04674863 8 -165.6046 347.7291 5.4608309 0.003647784 -1.5631876 -0.004948562 0.3696963 + NA NA -0.02379707 NA -0.10734047 9 -164.6104 347.873 5.6046401 0.0033947 -1.5756095 -0.004918989 0.3744873 + -0.004488617 NA -0.02378915 NA NA 9 -164.6241 347.9004 5.6320606 0.003348475 -2.6716449 -0.005370304 0.4669737 + 0.024466748 0.10615724 -0.02414901 NA -0.17595018 11 -162.4696 347.9028 5.6344831 0.003344422 12.9309917 -0.004081428 NA NA NA 0.08626566 -0.02486738 -0.00721778 -0.29560237 9 -164.6307 347.9135 5.6452049 0.003326541 -1.0036555 -0.004736907 0.2807559 NA NA NA -0.02376511 NA -0.13360402 8 -165.7477 348.0153 5.7470113 0.003161447 -0.931807 -0.004657957 0.2871072 NA -0.033433169 NA -0.0233487 NA NA 8 -165.7487 348.0172 5.7488981 0.003158466 14.2212182 -0.00390987 NA NA -0.032255273 0.08290061 -0.02463572 -0.00784181 NA 9 -164.7041 348.0604 5.792073 0.003091013 9.663759 NA 0.4242723 + -0.002087753 0.10065211 -0.02403391 -0.006335756 -0.11272588 11 -162.6025 348.1685 5.9001647 0.002928391 -0.869242 -0.002736582 NA + NA NA -0.02443645 NA -0.26593249 8 -165.8475 348.2148 5.9465035 0.002861322